This recipe produces a stage-appropriate marketing strategy document with prioritized channel selections, budget allocations, a 90-day experiment plan, and measurable success criteria — calibrated to whether the startup is pre-PMF (learning mode) or post-PMF (scaling mode). The output prevents the two most common mistakes: spreading budget across too many channels before PMF, and under-investing in proven channels after PMF. [src1]
Which path?
├── Pre-PMF (no retention metrics, still searching for fit)
│ ├── B2B SaaS → PATH A: Founder-led outbound + content
│ ├── B2C SaaS → PATH B: Community + product-led growth
│ ├── Marketplace → PATH C: Supply-side acquisition + demand tests
│ └── E-commerce → PATH D: Paid social + influencer tests
├── Early PMF (some retention, 40%+ would be disappointed)
│ ├── B2B → PATH E: Content + outbound scaling
│ └── B2C → PATH F: Paid + organic scaling
└── Strong PMF (retention proven, ready to scale)
├── B2B → PATH G: Multi-channel (content + paid + partnerships)
└── B2C → PATH H: Performance marketing + brand
| Path | Primary Channels | Budget Range | Focus | Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A: B2B Pre-PMF | LinkedIn outbound + founder content | $0-5K/mo | Learning | 90-day cycles |
| B: B2C Pre-PMF | Community + PLG | $0-3K/mo | Activation experiments | 90-day cycles |
| C: Marketplace | Cold outreach + paid test | $2K-10K/mo | Unit economics | 90-day cycles |
| D: E-commerce | Meta Ads + micro-influencers | $3K-15K/mo | CPA discovery | 60-day cycles |
| E: B2B Early PMF | SEO/content + outbound | $10K-50K/mo | Pipeline generation | 6-month ramp |
| F: B2C Early PMF | Paid social + SEO + referral | $10K-40K/mo | CAC optimization | 3-6 month ramp |
| G: B2B Scale | Content + paid + partnerships | $50K-170K/mo | Predictable pipeline | Ongoing |
| H: B2C Scale | Performance + brand + influencer | $50K-200K/mo | Blended CAC at scale | Ongoing |
Duration: 1-2 hours · Tool: Analytics dashboard + metrics spreadsheet
Assess PMF stage using the Sean Ellis test (>40% "very disappointed"), retention curve analysis, NPS, organic referrals, and revenue growth without paid acquisition. Score 0-1 = Pre-PMF, 2-3 = Early PMF, 4-5 = Strong PMF.
Verify: PMF stage classified with documented metrics baseline. · If failed: Classify as Pre-PMF and focus on instrumenting analytics first.
Duration: 1 hour · Tool: Channel scoring matrix
Score each potential channel against four criteria (Reachability, Trust Transfer, Cost, Speed) on a 1-5 scale. Select top 2. Apply business-model rules: B2B SaaS high-ACV = outbound + events; B2B SaaS low-ACV = content/SEO + PLG; B2C = paid social + organic/community. [src1]
Verify: Exactly 2 channels selected with rationale tied to ICP behavior. · If failed: Run 2-week micro-tests ($500/channel) to generate decision data.
Duration: 30 minutes · Tool: Spreadsheet
Pre-PMF: 40% channel experiments, 25% content, 15% tools, 20% research. Post-PMF: 50% proven channels, 15% new experiments, 20% content/brand, 10% tools, 5% team. [src2] [src6]
Verify: Budget matches approved spend. No single channel > 50% pre-PMF. · If failed: Reduce to 1 channel + content.
Duration: 1 hour · Tool: Notion, Google Sheets, or Airtable
Create 4-6 structured experiments per 90-day cycle. Each experiment needs: hypothesis, budget, success metric, minimum viable signal, timeline (min 2 weeks), and owner. Stagger starts by 2 weeks. [src7]
Verify: Each experiment has measurable success criteria and kill thresholds. · If failed: Narrow channel tactics until outcomes are measurable.
Duration: 30-60 minutes · Tool: GA4 + CRM + UTM conventions
Establish UTM conventions (source, medium, campaign, content). Configure GA4 goals for key actions. Track per-channel funnel: impressions → visits → signups → activated users → paying customers. [src3]
Verify: UTM conventions documented. GA4 conversions configured. · If failed: Start with UTM tracking on all links — imperfect attribution is better than none.
Duration: Ongoing (weekly 30-min + monthly 2-hr reviews)
Weekly: check experiment metrics vs targets, flag underperformers, identify winners. Monthly: calculate CAC per channel, compute LTV:CAC ratio, kill failing experiments, promote winners. 90-day: identify top 2 channels, reallocate 70% of budget, design next cycle.
Verify: 4+ experiments completed per cycle with clear winners identified. · If failed: Experiments were too short or too small — increase duration and budget per experiment.
{
"output_type": "marketing_strategy_document",
"format": "structured markdown + experiment backlog",
"columns": [
{"name": "pmf_stage", "type": "string", "description": "Pre-PMF, Early PMF, or Strong PMF", "required": true},
{"name": "primary_channel", "type": "string", "description": "First priority channel", "required": true},
{"name": "secondary_channel", "type": "string", "description": "Second priority channel", "required": true},
{"name": "monthly_budget", "type": "number", "description": "Total monthly marketing budget", "required": true},
{"name": "budget_allocation", "type": "object", "description": "Budget breakdown by category", "required": true},
{"name": "experiment_count", "type": "number", "description": "Experiments in 90-day plan", "required": true},
{"name": "target_cac", "type": "number", "description": "Target customer acquisition cost", "required": false},
{"name": "review_cadence", "type": "string", "description": "Review schedule", "required": true}
],
"expected_row_count": "1",
"sort_order": "N/A",
"deduplication_key": "pmf_stage"
}
| Quality Metric | Minimum Acceptable | Good | Excellent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Channels selected | 1 channel defined | 2 with rationale | 2 with scoring matrix |
| Budget allocation | Lump sum | By category | By category + per-experiment |
| Experiment plan | 2 experiments | 4-6 with hypotheses | 4-6 with kill thresholds |
| Measurement setup | UTM tracking | GA4 + UTM + CRM | Full attribution model |
| CAC tracking | Not tracked | Per channel | Per channel with LTV:CAC |
If below minimum: Start with channel selection (Step 2) and experiment plan (Step 4). Running structured experiments with hypotheses produces learning even without formal measurement.
| Error | Likely Cause | Recovery Action |
|---|---|---|
| No traffic after 30 days | Wrong channel for ICP | Interview 5 customers to verify channel usage. Switch if unconfirmed. |
| High traffic, zero conversions | Messaging mismatch | A/B test landing page. Interview non-converting visitors. |
| CAC too high (> 1/3 LTV) | Targeting too broad | Narrow to highest-intent segment. Test different creative. [src3] |
| Budget exhausted early | Budget too small for channel | Reduce parallel experiments. Minimum $500 per paid experiment. |
| PMF stage misclassified | Optimistic assessment | Re-run Sean Ellis test with 40+ real users. [src5] |
| Component | Pre-PMF ($0-15K/mo) | Post-PMF ($25K-100K/mo) | Scale ($100K+/mo) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Channel spend | $0-6K | $12.5-50K | $50-150K |
| Content creation | $0-3.8K | $5-20K | $20-50K |
| Tools (analytics, CRM) | $0-750 | $2.5-10K | $5-20K |
| Customer research | $1-3K | $1-5K | $2-10K |
| Freelancers/agencies | $0 | $1.3-5K | $10-50K |
| Total | $0-15K/mo | $25-100K/mo | $100-300K/mo |
Spending $10K+/mo on ads before validating retention and conversion at sustainable rates. Result: high CAC, low LTV, rapid cash burn. [src4] [src5]
Pre-PMF paid ads serve one purpose: fast feedback. Spend $500-2K to test messaging and validate demand. Do not optimize for conversions until retention is proven.
Adopting well-funded competitor channels without their budget, brand, or domain authority. [src1]
Select channels where the startup has a unique edge: founder network, domain expertise, niche community access, or willingness to do things that don't scale.
Reporting impressions and followers without connecting to pipeline or revenue. [src3]
Track visitors → signups → activated users → paying customers by channel. Even small numbers reveal funnel drop-offs and channel quality.
Use this recipe when the agent needs to build a complete marketing strategy for a startup, not execute a specific channel. This produces the strategic plan that downstream execution recipes (content marketing, SEO, paid acquisition) implement. Requires ICP definition and positioning as inputs.